The first-time fund market expanded sharply and then contracted, increasing the value of disciplined manager selection. US first-time VC funds closed by year, NVCA 2026 Yearbook public data pack.
First-Time US Venture Funds Closed
The first-time fund market expanded sharply and then contracted, increasing the value of disciplined manager selection.
View chart data and assumptions
| Period | First-time US VC funds closed |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 214 |
| 2017 | 265 |
| 2018 | 278 |
| 2019 | 220 |
| 2020 | 272 |
| 2021 | 457 |
| 2022 | 477 |
| 2023 | 388 |
| 2024 | 240 |
| 2025 | 101 |
Key Takeaways
- Separate attribution from platform reputation: The current team should be able to show what it personally sourced, underwrote, won, supported, and realized.
- Make the strategy and fund size fit: Sourcing, check sizes, ownership, reserves, company count, and expected exits should form a consistent model.
- Underwrite the firm as well as the investments: Partner economics, operations, governance, conflicts, and reporting shape the LP experience.
- Use references to test behavior: Founders, co-investors, prior colleagues, LPs, and declined opportunities can show how the manager acts when facts become difficult.
A Public Example
ILPA's DDQ helps explain why funds of funds often ask emerging managers for detailed materials before a first commitment.
- Standardization helps comparison: Questions on strategy, team, process, conflicts, reporting, and ESG allow managers to be reviewed on a common baseline.
- The diligence implication: A promising emerging manager still needs evidence that sourcing, selection, ownership, and operations can scale into an institutional fund.
- Useful number: Because fund performance may not settle for five to six years, funds of funds often lean heavily on deal attribution, sourcing proof, and references.
What Qualifies as an Emerging Manager?
Fund-universe context: In Carta's 2,906-fund sample, 89% managed less than $100 million and 33% fell between $1 million and $10 million.
An emerging venture manager may be:
- Raising an early institutional fund: The team may have prior experience but limited history in its current vehicle.
- Operating below large-fund scale: The strategy may deliberately target a smaller opportunity set.
- Spinning out from another platform: The partners may be translating previous experience into a new firm.
The label matters less than the evidence: who makes decisions, what those people have done, and why the current strategy should work.
Manager Attribution
Performance spread: For 2017-vintage funds, Carta reported 4.08x TVPI at the 90th percentile, 2.53x at the 75th percentile, and 1.89x at the median. Attribution must explain the manager's place in that distribution.
Reconstruct the record one investment at a time.
- Sourcing: Who originated the company relationship?
- Diligence: Who built the underwriting case and led the decision?
- Allocation: Who helped the manager win access?
- Portfolio support: What did the team contribute after investing?
- Realization: Which results have produced cash, and which remain residual value?
Sourcing and Access
Funnel scale: US investors completed 15,352 venture deals in 2025, yet 487 megadeals absorbed 67% of capital. Access claims should distinguish deal count from dollar-weighted relevance.
A credible manager should have a specific, repeatable route to opportunities.
- Founder communities: Relationships that provide early or differentiated access.
- Sector expertise: Specialized knowledge that improves sourcing and selection.
- Operator history: Experience that founders value and trust.
- Geography: Local networks or insight within a defined market.
- Syndicate relationships: Consistent access through other investors.
- Secondary-market access: A repeatable ability to source existing private shares.
Narrow claims supported by evidence are more useful than broad claims about network.
Portfolio Construction
Construction example: A $60 million fund targeting 30 companies with 50% reserves has $30 million for initial checks, or $1 million per company on average, before recycling or unequal sizing.
Fund size should match the number and type of investments the manager can realistically make.
- Company count: Does the portfolio create enough independent chances for the strategy to work?
- Initial checks: Are position sizes appropriate for the target stage and ownership?
- Reserves: Can the fund support its strongest companies?
- Dilution: How much ownership is likely to remain at exit?
- Required outcomes: What exit values must the leading investments achieve?
A small fund may be powerful when selection and ownership are strong, but fragile when it cannot support winners.
GP Commitment and Alignment
Emerging-manager diligence often requires underwriting the firm as well as the strategy.
- GP commitment: How much does the team invest, and where does the capital come from?
- Carry allocation: Do the people making decisions participate meaningfully in investment outcomes?
- Partner vesting: What encourages the team to remain through the life of the fund?
- Fee dependence: Does the firm's budget create pressure to raise capital or expand too quickly?
- Management-company economics: Who owns and benefits from the long-term organization?
Governance, Operations, and Reporting
Smaller does not have to mean informal. Institutional readiness includes:
- Administrator and audit: Dependable records, capital accounts, and independent review.
- Valuation policy: A clear process for judgment-based private-company marks.
- Compliance and cash controls: Procedures that protect the fund and separate responsibilities.
- Cybersecurity: Appropriate safeguards for financial and investor information.
- Quarterly reporting: Timely explanations of portfolio progress, value changes, and risk.
Reference Checks
References should cover successful and difficult situations.
- Founders: How did the manager behave before and after investing?
- Co-investors: Was the team thoughtful, dependable, and constructive?
- Prior colleagues: What was each partner's actual role and decision quality?
- LPs: How clear and consistent are communication and reporting?
- Passes and difficult outcomes: How does the manager act when access is competitive or facts change?
Frontierspace Perspective
Frontierspace's private-technology approach is built around:
- Relationship-led sourcing: Developing access through relevant market participants.
- Entry discipline: Assessing company quality alongside price, terms, and ownership.
- GP alignment: Connecting manager incentives to long-term investor outcomes.
- Opportunity-level review: Applying the framework across venture, growth, and secondary transactions.
Funds of funds should test these claims—and those of any emerging manager—through evidence rather than adjectives.
CalPERS: emerging managers evaluated inside a portfolio mandate
CalPERS' public emerging-manager program shows how a large LP can frame manager selection around an explicit portfolio objective rather than novelty alone.
The 2023 mandate was designed to identify and support a portfolio of emerging firms.
The public objective did not describe emerging status as a substitute for performance.
The program also seeks opportunities that may otherwise be overlooked.
What it shows: A fund of funds should translate those objectives into a repeatable scorecard: attributable decisions, sourcing evidence, fund mathematics, partner economics, key-person protections, references, and institutional operations.
Primary sources: CalPERS, Emerging and Diverse Manager Program. Public transaction evidence only; this is not represented as a Frontierspace investment or result.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why do funds of funds back emerging VC managers?
They may offer differentiated exposure: Potential attractions include specialized sourcing, disciplined fund sizes, stronger alignment, and access before a manager becomes widely allocated.
What is the main diligence risk?
Attribution: LPs need to know whether the current team genuinely owns the track record and investment edge being presented.
See also the venture fund due diligence checklist and institutional venture capital investing.
Related Reading
Also see emerging manager scorecard.